Who Controls Digital History? Democratic Memory Governance

TL;DR: Degree inflation locks 70 million skilled workers out of better-paying jobs they're qualified for, costing billions in lost productivity. States and companies are fighting back with skills-based hiring.
Sarah Mitchell never imagined her lack of a college degree would matter. After all, she had been running complex financial systems for her company for five years, training new hires who often held MBAs, and consistently receiving stellar performance reviews. But when she applied for a promotion to a role she was already doing informally, the automated recruitment software rejected her application instantly. The reason? The job listing required a bachelor's degree.
Mitchell's story reflects a growing crisis affecting approximately 70 million American workers known as STARs—Skilled Through Alternative Routes. These workers have developed expertise through military service, apprenticeships, boot camps, community colleges, or on-the-job training. Yet increasingly, they find themselves locked out of opportunities by what researchers call "degree inflation"—the rising credential requirements for jobs that previously didn't require them.
This artificial barrier doesn't just hurt individual workers. According to research from Harvard Business School and Burning Glass, eliminating unnecessary degree requirements could open 1.4 million jobs to non-degree holders over five years. For an economy grappling with labor shortages and widening inequality, the stakes couldn't be higher.
Consider this paradox: In 2023, around 5.7 million full-time American workers without bachelor's degrees earned $100,000 or more, proving that skills and experience can lead to high-paying careers. Yet simultaneously, 78% of job postings for game designers require a bachelor's degree, even though most successful game designers never attended college.
This disconnect between job requirements and actual job performance reveals how degree inflation operates as an invisible tax on economic mobility. Workers must either invest tens of thousands of dollars and years of their lives obtaining credentials they may not need, or accept being systematically excluded from opportunities they're qualified to pursue.
The phenomenon affects virtually every industry. Administrative assistants, who twenty years ago needed only a high school diploma and strong organizational skills, now frequently encounter job postings demanding four-year degrees. Lab technicians who once learned through apprenticeships find themselves competing against biology majors for the same positions. Even in technology, where some of the industry's most successful entrepreneurs and innovators lack degrees, companies like IBM, Google, and Apple have only recently begun dropping degree requirements for many technical roles.
Research indicates that 30 million skilled workers without degrees have the capabilities to earn 70% more than their current wages, representing billions in lost economic productivity.
The economic implications of degree inflation extend far beyond individual career trajectories. Research indicates that 30 million STARs have the skills to earn 70% more than their current wages but remain trapped in lower-paying positions due to credential barriers. This represents not just lost individual income but billions in foregone economic productivity.
For employers, degree inflation creates its own set of problems. Companies complain about talent shortages while simultaneously filtering out qualified candidates through arbitrary educational requirements. The result? Longer hiring times, higher recruitment costs, and positions that remain vacant even as capable workers seek opportunities.
Seth Gallegos, a 21-year-old network engineer hired by Accenture despite lacking a degree, puts it bluntly: "I think 95% of any tech job can be done without a degree." After completing a 15-week cybersecurity boot camp, he found himself performing the same work as colleagues who spent four years and accumulated significant debt obtaining computer science degrees.
The financial burden of unnecessary credentialism weighs heavily on workers. Alejandro Ceniceros, who completed a boot camp certification in cloud technology, explained his decision: "I didn't want to get into a huge amount of debt over schooling, because you're not even guaranteed a job with a degree anymore in this market." His concern reflects a broader reality where the return on educational investment has become increasingly uncertain.
"I think 95% of any tech job can be done without a degree."
— Seth Gallegos, Network Engineer at Accenture
Perhaps the most damaging aspect of degree inflation is its poor correlation with actual job performance. Multiple studies have found that skills assessments, work samples, and structured interviews are far better predictors of job success than educational credentials. Yet many employers continue using degrees as a primary screening tool, not because they predict performance but because they serve as a convenient filter in an age of overwhelming application volumes.
Joe Hyrkin, former CEO of Issuu, describes how technology is beginning to change this dynamic: "In the past, you would use a university degree or company pedigree as the bar, but now you can use AI tools to weed through everybody's application." These AI-powered assessment tools can evaluate actual skills and competencies rather than relying on educational proxies.
The evidence supporting skills-based evaluation is compelling. When companies focus on what candidates can do rather than where they went to school, they often discover exceptional talent they would have otherwise overlooked. IBM's partnership with Brooklyn's P-Tech high school demonstrates this principle in action—one graduate, Shekinah Griffith, landed a six-figure job at IBM straight out of high school, proving that given the right opportunities and training, young people can excel in complex technical roles without traditional four-year degrees.
While technology companies grab headlines for dropping degree requirements, the shift toward skills-based hiring extends across multiple sectors. Healthcare, traditionally one of the most credential-focused industries, shows surprising flexibility in certain roles. Dental hygienists, who can earn median salaries of $81,400, need only complete two-to-three-year accredited programs and pass state licensing examinations. Similarly, air traffic controllers, with median earnings of $137,380, require only an associate degree or equivalent experience.
The construction and skilled trades offer particularly compelling examples of high-earning potential without degrees. Elevator installers and repairers earn median salaries of $102,420, while power plant operators can earn $94,790 after completing technical training programs. These positions often provide better job security and earning potential than many roles requiring bachelor's degrees.
In business and finance, progressive companies recognize that skills in data analysis, project management, and client relations often develop through experience rather than classroom instruction. Amazon Web Services' apprenticeship program pays students for four weeks of training and frequently hires them afterward, creating pathways for workers like Kavary Hill, who transitioned from HVAC work to become a data center operations technician. As Hill noted, "I was always interested in IT... but this was the first opportunity to actually get my foot in the door."
State governments that eliminated degree requirements saw immediate results: Maryland increased hires without degrees by 41% in just three months after policy changes.
Recognizing the economic and social costs of degree inflation, state governments have begun taking decisive action. Maryland led the charge when then-Governor Larry Hogan eliminated degree requirements for most government jobs in March 2022. The results were immediate and dramatic: from May to August 2022, the number of people without degrees hired by the state government increased by 41%.
California followed suit when Governor Gavin Newsom removed college degree requirements for nearly 30,000 state government jobs, representing about 13% of all state positions. The executive order explicitly recognized that competencies can be demonstrated through alternative routes including military service, apprenticeships, and on-the-job training.
Multiple other states, including Pennsylvania, Utah, Virginia, and Alaska, have implemented similar reforms, creating a laboratory for testing skills-based hiring at scale. Utah's approach has been particularly innovative, combining degree requirement removal with "returnship" initiatives designed to help workers re-enter the workforce after extended absences.
Governor Spencer Cox of Utah articulated the rationale behind these changes: "We're looking for people who can do the job, not just people who have a certain piece of paper." This pragmatic approach recognizes that in an era of rapid technological change, the ability to learn and adapt matters more than credentials earned years or decades ago.
Private sector innovation in skills-based hiring often outpaces government efforts. According to recent data, 73% of employers used some form of skills-based hiring in 2023, though the depth and consistency of implementation varies widely. Leading companies have developed sophisticated alternative credentialing systems that better predict job success than traditional degree requirements.
Google's Career Certificates program exemplifies this trend, offering focused training in high-demand fields like data analytics, project management, and UX design. These programs, typically completed in three to six months, provide direct pathways to employment at Google and hundreds of partner companies. The tech giant explicitly states that it considers these certificates equivalent to four-year degrees for relevant roles.
Smaller companies and startups, unburdened by legacy HR policies, often lead in innovative hiring practices. Many evaluate candidates through project-based assessments, allowing applicants to demonstrate competence directly. This approach particularly benefits career changers and self-taught professionals who may have developed expertise outside traditional educational pathways.
The shift extends to company culture and values. Organizations that embrace skills-based hiring report more diverse workforces, improved retention rates, and often superior performance compared to traditionally recruited teams. These companies recognize that diversity of educational backgrounds brings diversity of thought—a crucial competitive advantage in innovation-driven economies.
"We're looking for people who can do the job, not just people who have a certain piece of paper."
— Governor Spencer Cox, Utah
The proliferation of alternative learning pathways challenges the monopoly traditional universities once held on advanced skill development. Coding boot camps, which barely existed a decade ago, now graduate tens of thousands of job-ready programmers annually. Professional certificates from platforms like Coursera, edX, and LinkedIn Learning carry increasing weight with employers, particularly when combined with demonstrable project portfolios.
Apprenticeships, long successful in European countries, gain traction in the United States across diverse fields. These programs combine paid work experience with structured learning, allowing participants to earn while developing expertise. Unlike unpaid internships that often favor those with financial resources, apprenticeships provide accessible pathways to middle-class careers.
Military veterans represent a particularly underutilized talent pool affected by degree inflation. Despite possessing advanced technical skills, leadership experience, and security clearances, veterans often struggle to translate their experience into civilian credentials. Progressive employers increasingly recognize military service as valuable alternative credentialing, particularly for roles requiring discipline, project management, and technical expertise.
Community colleges play a crucial but often overlooked role in skills-based career development. These institutions offer targeted technical programs, industry partnerships, and stackable credentials that allow workers to advance incrementally. For many STARs, community colleges provide the most accessible pathway to career advancement without the debt burden of four-year institutions.
Artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies promise to accelerate the shift toward skills-based hiring by making competency assessment more sophisticated and scalable. Modern AI systems can evaluate coding ability, writing quality, analytical thinking, and even soft skills through various assessment methods. These tools level the playing field by focusing on measurable capabilities rather than institutional pedigree.
Blockchain technology enables creation of verifiable, portable skill credentials that workers own and control. Unlike traditional transcripts locked within institutional systems, blockchain-based credentials allow workers to build comprehensive skill portfolios from multiple sources—employers, online courses, professional associations—creating richer pictures of their capabilities.
Virtual reality and simulation technologies enable sophisticated job tryouts that would be impossible or impractical in physical settings. Candidates can demonstrate their ability to operate complex machinery, handle customer service scenarios, or manage crisis situations in risk-free virtual environments. These immersive assessments provide far better predictions of job performance than resume reviews or traditional interviews.
The democratization of learning through technology means that motivated individuals can acquire advanced skills regardless of geographic location or economic circumstances. A programmer in rural America can access the same online resources as their counterpart in Silicon Valley. This accessibility challenges the gatekeeping function that educational institutions have traditionally served.
AI-powered assessment tools are revolutionizing hiring by evaluating actual skills and competencies rather than relying on educational credentials as proxies for ability.
Despite mounting evidence favoring skills-based hiring, significant obstacles remain. Entrenched HR practices, legal concerns about discrimination, and simple organizational inertia slow adoption. Many companies find it easier to maintain degree requirements than to develop sophisticated assessment systems or defend non-traditional hiring decisions.
Professional licensing boards often mandate degrees even when evidence suggests alternative pathways could ensure competence. State governments, which control many licensing requirements, have been slow to reform these barriers despite their negative impact on workforce mobility and economic opportunity.
Cultural biases persist as well. Parents who sacrificed to send children to college may resist acknowledging that degrees aren't always necessary. Employees who invested heavily in their education may feel threatened by colleagues who achieved similar positions through alternative routes. These psychological and social factors can be as challenging to overcome as institutional barriers.
The student loan crisis complicates reform efforts. With Americans owing over $1.7 trillion in student debt, many feel trapped by investments they've already made in traditional education. Policymakers must balance supporting skills-based hiring with addressing the needs of those who pursued degrees based on previous economic assumptions.
Creating a more equitable, skills-based labor market requires coordinated action from multiple stakeholders. Employers must move beyond using degrees as lazy proxies for competence, investing instead in robust assessment systems that evaluate actual capabilities. This means redesigning job descriptions to focus on required skills rather than educational credentials, and training hiring managers to recognize competence regardless of its source.
Educational institutions must adapt or risk obsolescence. Forward-thinking universities already experiment with competency-based programs, micro-credentials, and partnerships with employers. The most successful will likely be those that focus on continuous learning throughout careers rather than front-loading education in early adulthood.
Policymakers can accelerate change through targeted interventions. Beyond removing degree requirements from government jobs, they can reform occupational licensing, provide tax incentives for skills-based hiring, and fund alternative credentialing programs. Investment in apprenticeships and technical training could provide particularly high returns, as demonstrated by successful programs in Germany and Switzerland.
Workers themselves must embrace lifelong learning and advocate for recognition of their skills. Building portfolios that demonstrate competence, pursuing relevant certifications, and networking within professional communities can help overcome credential barriers. Labor unions and professional associations can play crucial roles in establishing alternative credentialing standards that protect both worker interests and professional standards.
The movement toward skills-based hiring represents more than a technical adjustment to HR practices—it challenges fundamental assumptions about merit, opportunity, and the purpose of education in modern society. As automation eliminates routine jobs while creating demand for new skills, the ability to continuously learn and adapt becomes more valuable than any static credential.
Success stories multiply daily. From high school graduates earning six figures in tech to military veterans transitioning to corporate leadership, STARs prove that talent exists everywhere when given opportunity. Their achievements don't diminish the value of higher education but rather expand our understanding of how expertise develops and how societies can nurture human potential.
The companies and governments leading this transformation will likely gain significant competitive advantages. By accessing previously overlooked talent pools, they can address labor shortages, increase diversity, and often find more motivated, loyal employees. Those clinging to outdated credentialism may find themselves losing the war for talent to more innovative competitors.
The question isn't whether the shift toward skills-based hiring will continue—market forces and technological capabilities make it inevitable. The question is how quickly institutions will adapt and whether the transition will be smooth or disruptive. For the 70 million STARs currently locked out of opportunity, and for the millions of young people making education decisions today, the answer can't come soon enough.
As we stand at this inflection point, the choice before us is clear. We can maintain a system that privileges credentials over competence, perpetuating inequality and constraining economic growth. Or we can build a labor market that recognizes and rewards actual skills, creating pathways to prosperity for all who are willing to work and learn. The paper ceiling that has limited so many for so long is finally beginning to crack. The only question is whether we'll help tear it down or stand in the way of progress.

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